Friday night update before the big weekend

This was originally posted on Orangebloods.com "Inside the 40 Acres," so it obviously focuses on the BCS from the perspective of Texas fans.

Would've been nice to not have that 57 yarder go through the uprights, and yes, the CU/NU game was bigger than Ark/LSU because it was both a pro-Texas and anti-OU potential in one game. Ark/LSU was only potentially pro-Texas.

Still, when I looked at today's matchups, I really thought 0-3 was possible. Arkansas trailed pretty badly at one point, and that was quite a comeback (what a gutsy call on 4th and 1 as precious clock was burning down).

Tomorrow really does look better. If we can just get this weekend to be a wash on the strength-of-schedule front, it should keep the computers from deviating too far from our expectations. Remember to root for FAU, Syracuse, Rice and Mizzou. And obviously, root for Baylor and FSU. If you are feeling confident about the human vote, go ahead and root for OU, in a close one.

QUICK SUMMARY ON COMPUTERS

As long as we don't go 0-fer tomorrow, and there are no upsets, I continue to project a 0.01 Texas computer lead for the computers in the upcoming BCS (versus 0.06 now). The swing factors to watch will be:

1) Can Texas hold off OU in Sagarin (yikes, this'll be close, but my call is yes)

2) Can Texas hold off OU in Wolfe (another scary one, but my call is yes)

3) Will OU be one or two spots behind Texas in Colley (I think 2 spots, feel generally secure)

4) Is there any shot OU doesn't jump Bama in Billingsley (I think OU jumps them, to be conservative)

These are all so delicate. If one or more swing OU's way, they may have the slight computer lead. If they swing Texas' way, the lead may be 0.02 or 0.03.

IN CONCLUSION

Texas clearly did what they needed to last night (with "style"), and holding the last two opponents to single-digits suggests Texas looks more balanced than OU.

Texas has also gotten a lot of love from the media. There is no possible way to quantify the effect in the human polls. I have to believe that Texas will pick up some ground in the human polls, but we still don't know how dominant OU will be in their win over OSU... that is, if they beat OSU.

Remember with my computer projection, we need 10 coaches and 18 Harris voters (about 1/6 of each poll's voters) to be willing to flip Texas ahead of OU. If we get some breaks in the computers, it may only be 5 coaches and a dozen or so Harris voters.

My gut tells me if OU does not beat OSU by at least double-digits, Texas has a really good shot to pick up the votes. I won't "call my shot" until we see the final in Stillwater.

Boy oh boy, if we see a close OU victory, I won't be able to sleep tomorrow night.